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The field of solar cells, "Softbank" will emerge?
By on February 27, 2010 |
Total Viewed: 104 |
| Post by : qing li |
| Category: Business |
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I recently wrote a solar power album "solar cell market to start soon." The main contents are, solar battery module and system prices are a sharp decline in the near future, the rapid spread of the basic conditions are ripe. When I returned to Osaka by the end of the parent's home, they found next to the emergence of a shop selling solar power generation system, so I was surprised. Is growing so fast, in the author personal point of view, the current situation in the field of solar power, with about 10 years ago called "broadband" high-speed communications technology, the telephone lines "DSL", as well as optical access technology "FTTH (Fiber To The Home ) "the user before the explosive growth appears exactly the same.
DSL, in particular, ADSL in the fall of 2001 officially began to provide services for COMPAQ BUSINESS NOTEBOOK NC4000 Battery, users have begun to grow significantly. Around 2003, showing an annual increase of about 4.5 million lines, an alarming trend, the number of lines by the end of May 2006 reached about 14.5 million. After the killing because of FTTH and other users, DSL line number started to decrease, but including cable Internet access services, including broadband lines (fixed communication lines) continued to grow, to the end of September 2009 reached about 31.3 million Article. At present, Japan's broadband-line services in terms of penetration rate, or bandwidth, low speed and the use of fees in rank in the world.
I wrote here to say is that solar power can not be spread at such a speed. I feel more and more people will be pointed out that the broadband network and solar power generation "differences" too much. Indeed, although the cost has become less and less, but the installation of the equivalent of 4kW solar power systems to support more local government areas also need to spend a few initial cost of ¥ 100,000, in funding the region is less it takes about 2 million yen. Moreover, it must have in a sense, the big transformation of the residential determination. Living in rental housing where people want to import solar power may be very difficult. Therefore, such solar power, and now spend 10000 ~ 2 million yen initial cost will be able to access broadband in direct contrast to some far-fetched.
However, if the amount of this "inertia" in size, or "user acceptance" of the difference between high and low on the side of the timeline of history from broadband to compare, they would be surprised to find that there are many similarities between the two . For example, the preparation of related services operators, as well as engineering aspects of various procedures and fees. Although there were indeed DSL explosive growth, but the completion of technology development in 1989 after about 10 years, Japan has in the "DSL Dark Ages." The reason is that, although the United States and South Korea started to provide services through to walk in ahead of the industry, but the Nippon Telegraph and Telephone (NTT) because of a variety of technical reasons, such as telephone line infrastructure in the ground does not apply to DSL, failed to begin business services.
Even after the start of the service a full three-year period, DSL access remains difficult. First of all, if the application service, there will be a telephone line whether it matches the investigation. Although it seems that this 2 to 4 business days can be completed, but when it takes several months this time. In some cases, access to applications will be due to the applicant's name and telephone lines have been refused registration of the name does not match. Prior to that, if all kinds of unreasonable obstacles to cross-post can be "opened", is also a need to pay access fees in the 1.5Mbit / s bandwidth per month 100,000 to 15 million yen, the 10Mbit / s bandwidth per month for 30 yen is now unlikely the high cost.
After that, other than the service operator NTT as the emergence of technical indicators of the standard and simplified procedures for opening access to a variety of pre-rationalization measures, and particularly in the individual-oriented services prices continued to fall below the previous bottom line, before With today's Japanese ACER TRAVELMATE C100 SERIES Battery.
If you import with the solar power services comparison I think that the present rush is equivalent to DSL service launched around 1999. In the DSL service to provide support for NTT's service operator, in the field of solar power is the power company. NTT was the power company and now claims that there are similarities. However, solar cells and DSL there is a big difference, namely: even without access to electric power systems can be guided to the family. Even if they want to access power systems, we also heard of the power companies access to procedures for handling slow Ershi delayed six months, therefore, that the power companies and then maybe a bit too much like NTT.
System, the cost of 4 ~ 5 as the costs and labor charges
Solar power system, the current problem is that higher price. This album introduced the system in the price of solar cell module manufacturing costs continue to decline sharply fact. However, some aspects of the relationship between the number of pages is not too much mention. That is, spent in the system price solar cell module and power regulator on the cost of actually 1 / 2 or so, the full cost of 4 ~ 5 as is the construction cost and installation labor costs, dramatically reducing the cost of these two ways has not yet all to find. Assuming an average price of kW solar cell system is 60 yen, then one of the 24 ~ ¥ 300,000 paid to the construction company.
How to reduce those costs? Installation of solar cells must have a "two architects," the above qualifications, and need a few people work for at least 2 architects 1 ~ 2 days, therefore, this cost is not easily fall down.
DSL services in accordance with the analogy of the measures can be taken into account, solar power generation systems of standardization, panels and building materials to simplify assembly steps, as well as a large-scale construction companies through the integration of labor costs to achieve compression, and a substantial rationalization of construction operations. NTT did not properly prepared to accept applications for DSL from the semi-professional and technical personnel to open operations. In other words, a "custom" of the. As we prepare to more fully into operation manual, allowing a shorter time, lower the cost of completion.
At present, solar power system, standardization, and integration of building materials has made some progress. However, the final integration of construction companies look little progress. Japan's solar cell manufacturers are almost all large enterprises, and in fact in 4 ~ 5 companies monopolized by the state, most enterprises do not accept orders for installation services. In fact the application to receive services and engaged in the installation works, is a large number of local small and medium construction companies, who have been customized approach. This is the application and acceptance of services, NTT, as a beginning, compared to large enterprises, is the biggest difference in point.
However, in recent years, there have been some signs of change. Namely: large construction companies and manufacturers have already started a formal offer large residential solar power generation system into service, the solar cell manufacturers have already started on the construction companies organized to provide training, etc. In addition, a number of large home appliances discount stores are also involved in this business.
System prices will fall below the bottom line do?
Topics go back to DSL, from the time of the writer as a communications professional journalist point of view, began in the fall of 2001 triggered the explosive popularity of DSL is not NTT. Play this role, is distributed free of charge in the streets ADSL modem Softbank Group "Yahoo! BB" service. Softbank intends to break the previously ever-present, for the price level, "the industry's hidden rules", causing the price of services, great diving. Regardless of the cost of the HP OMNIBOOK XT1000 SERIES Battery and how the costs down, if not there can actually cut the price of service operator, then the price will remain high. |
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